Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.117815 0.139614 0.164004 0.193269 0.227383 0.265847 0.312456
2025-01-12 0.081374 0.108573 0.142450 0.187551 0.245808 0.318286 0.415036
2025-01-19 0.060242 0.088370 0.126517 0.181618 0.258681 0.362055 0.510544
2025-01-26 0.049413 0.078424 0.120630 0.185797 0.282997 0.421505 0.632412
2025-02-02 0.041308 0.070270 0.115080 0.188399 0.304001 0.477474 0.755054
2025-02-09 0.034811 0.063083 0.109333 0.189064 0.321170 0.528722 0.875694
2025-02-16 0.030099 0.057801 0.105488 0.191685 0.341041 0.585550 1.010582
2025-02-23 0.027035 0.054751 0.104730 0.199036 0.369171 0.658164 1.178338
2025-03-02 0.022690 0.048476 0.097187 0.193127 0.373269 0.690597 1.281658
2025-03-09 0.019855 0.044578 0.093335 0.193222 0.387763 0.741997 1.422593
2025-03-16 0.017164 0.040454 0.088353 0.190306 0.396008 0.782675 1.547987
2025-03-23 0.015587 0.038413 0.087192 0.194690 0.418629 0.851833 1.732452
2025-03-30 0.013649 0.035257 0.083330 0.193199 0.429829 0.901415 1.886887
2025-04-06 0.011735 0.031791 0.078259 0.188410 0.433671 0.937149 2.018450
2025-04-13 0.010048 0.028534 0.073115 0.182648 0.434589 0.966894 2.140843
2025-04-20 0.009208 0.027271 0.072411 0.186893 0.457871 1.045074 2.370535
2025-04-27 0.008375 0.025859 0.071113 0.189519 0.477757 1.117968 2.596106
2025-05-04 0.007544 0.024281 0.069140 0.190190 0.493128 1.182505 2.809797
2025-05-11 0.006899 0.023107 0.068020 0.192825 0.513458 1.260007 3.059405
2025-05-18 0.006514 0.022637 0.068704 0.200218 0.546288 1.369084 3.390272
2025-05-25 0.005670 0.020553 0.064601 0.194276 0.544934 1.398610 3.541120
2025-06-01 0.005135 0.019352 0.062805 0.194371 0.559071 1.466193 3.787434
2025-06-08 0.004568 0.017917 0.060079 0.191439 0.564846 1.514017 3.990886